Live Report: Way-Too-Early Predictions for the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series
As the countdown begins for the 67th Daytona 500 on February 16, NASCAR fans are buzzing with excitement. The new season brings fresh opportunities and storylines as the 77th NASCAR Cup Series kicks off. Here are ten bold predictions that could define the 2025 season.
Kyle Busch to Break His Winless Streak
After a disappointing 2024 season that saw Kyle Busch miss the playoffs and end his streak of at least one victory per season, the two-time Cup champion is poised for a comeback. With Richard Childress Racing showing improvements late in the year, Busch’s talent remains undeniable. Expect him to end his 57-race winless streak and perhaps clinch his first-ever Daytona 500 on February 16.
Bubba Wallace to Return to the Playoffs
After breaking through with playoff appearances in 2021 and 2023, Bubba Wallace had a lackluster 2024, going winless for a second consecutive year. With Bootie Barker stepping down as crew chief, Charles Denike, who guided Christian Eckes to the Truck Series Championship 4, takes over the No. 23 team. The new leadership could spark Wallace’s resurgence, putting him back in playoff contention.
Denny Hamlin’s Career Decline Begins
Over the last decade, Denny Hamlin has been a dominant force, making four Championship 4 appearances. However, his performance has dipped since the introduction of the Next Gen car, with three consecutive Round of 8 eliminations (2022–2024). With the distraction of 23XI Racing’s lawsuit, 2025 could mark the beginning of a downturn for the veteran.
Joey Logano Faces a Championship Hangover
Though Joey Logano claimed the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series title, history suggests 2025 might be tough. The No. 22 team has struggled with consistency in recent years, relying heavily on clutch performances. Logano’s odd-year struggles—he’s never made the Championship 4 in such years—could leave him battling just to make the playoffs.
Shane van Gisbergen Will Dominate Rookie of the Year Race
The battle for Rookie of the Year will be exciting, with Shane van Gisbergen and Riley Herbst expected to contend. Van Gisbergen’s exceptional road-racing skills, showcased during his 2024 Xfinity Series campaign, give him a distinct edge. A road-course win could seal the award early for the talented driver.
Ryan Preece to Just Miss Playoff Field with RFK Racing
Ryan Preece begins his tenure with RFK Racing as the driver of the No. 60 Ford, his most stable ride yet. While RFK Racing provides him with a solid platform, first-year growing pains may hold him back. Expect Preece to narrowly miss the playoffs in 2025.
Todd Gilliland to Shine as Front Row Motorsports Leader
With veteran Michael McDowell moving to Spire Motorsports, Todd Gilliland will become the leader at Front Row Motorsports. Having improved each season, Gilliland looks primed for a breakout year in 2025. With Noah Gragson as his teammate and Zane Smith likely to join, don’t rule out Gilliland’s playoff chances.
Kyle Larson to Lead the Series in Wins
After winning six races and leading 1,700 laps in 2024, Kyle Larson fell just short of the Championship 4. The No. 5 team has been an elite force since Larson’s arrival in 2021, with 23 wins and over 6,000 laps led. Look for Larson to dominate again in 2025, potentially leading the series in victories for the third time in five years.
Spire Motorsports Will Have a Playoff Contender
Spire Motorsports is quietly building a strong roster with Carson Hocevar, Justin Haley, and Michael McDowell. Hocevar, a rising star, provides the team’s best playoff shot, while McDowell and Haley bring superspeedway expertise. At least one of Spire’s cars could make the playoffs in 2025.
Ryan Blaney to Make Third Straight Championship 4 Appearance
After winning the 2023 championship and nearly defending his title in 2024, Ryan Blaney has solidified his place among NASCAR’s elite. The No. 12 team continues to improve, and Blaney could set career highs in wins and laps led. Expect him to secure a spot in the Championship 4 for the third year in a row.
Final Thoughts
With big names like Kyle Busch, Kyle Larson, and Ryan Blaney aiming to dominate and fresh faces like Shane van Gisbergen stepping into the spotlight, the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series promises to be a thrilling ride. Stay tuned as the season kicks off at Daytona International Speedway!
